Tag Archive for tzoo

TZOO Pump and Dump Implodes… Down 35% Today…

So there you have it… What happens when “revenue growth” is not enough? People actually start looking at earnings, and Heaven Forbid, price to earnings ratios…

This is exactly what happened to Trvelzoo today and I’m bummed because I couldn’t get a borrow, locate, shares to short, what have you yesterday… If you would have signed up to my real time trade alerts newsletter for $30 you would have known I was trying to short TZOO at $85 a share!!! You could have sold call options against TZOO and made a bundle like I did today, or you could have watched from the sidlines grinning!

Most of my readers know I am bearish on TZOO — (still am even at $56 by the way, though I am still holding my 5 OCtober $90 calls and my long 3 $100 october calls put spread which should earn the fund a solid 3, 000 today (just a .001% gain overall, but I’ll take it!)…

There are many other shorts still out there to tackle, and I view LNKD, OPEN, CRM, and others as equally ready for a 35% drop in the near future, although CRM is being annoying lately and the VMW beat looked solid (note RVBD was manhandled on earnings however missing by like three cents…)

In any event, valuations don’t matter until they do — saying high PE stocks make bad shorts means you would have missed the 2007-March 2009 selloff from the short side and likely would have been caught long. My investment clients were told to get out… and advised to sell newspapers, AIG, Freddie, Fannie, etc… for my advisory service…

Right now I am making similar calls and think that the best opportunities are on the short side…

Midday Hedgephone Macro Update: Stocks Lower/Gold Higher

Looks like our Sunday Macro Madness was right on the money: http://hedgephone.com/?p=984

Expect stocks to recover a bit from the lows as the POMO money dump takes the overvalued GMCR’s and TZOO’s of the world a little higher, which will put the speculation back in the speculators via the POMO desk and Brian Sack… The market is getting a full Zap of POMO juice for the rest of the week, so investors may want to take some profits on incremental short positions in equities and buy some FCX, VALE, and SGOL… These are just three of my favorite names here, but I expect all of them to significantly outperform the averages over time (and apparently so does Soros on the FCX anyways, as he bought 300K shares after dumping his GLD at a huge profit)…

I will be looking to cover some things this afternoon, but will remain fully hedged in the stock market and long some metals because valuations for equities are ripe while QE is driving asset prices higher regardless of the expensive valuations for stocks — QE is a tough call and not what I would have done, but then again I’m no central banker!

In the end, every red blooded American like me hopes for Blue Skies ahead, but in my heart of hearts I can’t help but feel skeptical of the stock market which is up 110% from the lows…

Best wishes for successful investing HP’s!

Iceland Volcano Erupts, Rapture? Or Airline Stock Disaster?

Time for more huge plumes of smoke in Europe this summer? Either that or they will somehow spin this as a bullish development for shares of Travelzoo (ticker TZOO) as usual…. Looks Like Harold the great is still wrong and Blasphemous as of 6PM eastern, however, you never know! Pretty scary to think that the latest Volcanic Eruption could go worldwide, but my gut feeling says there will be a May 22, and that on May 23 Chairsatan Bernanke will be printing up some fresh dolla dolla bills to pump the overvalued stock rally to new, even more overvalued heights! YAY centrally planned economy — you go Benny and Feds!